Most pollsters are skipping the Nevada caucuses be...

Most pollsters are skipping the Nevada caucuses because they think the transient population, the newness of the early caucus date, and the nature of caucuses themselves make it too difficult to do. Having worked for a statewide campaign here, I know this to be true, but this is great: I might be able to walk into my caucus location next week without a pre-declared winner. (via political wire)

Submitted by crazymonk on Fri, 01/11/2008 - 5:00am.

Comments (9)

There's too many Larry Harrises in the world:

Larry Harris, a principal with Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, one of two national firms that conduct polling for Nevada media on occasion, acknowledged the difficulty. “It requires a lot more energy than somebody pulling a lever in a secret ballot,” he said.

Ingen Angiven | Fri, 01/11/2008 - 10:54am

Heh, you know there's no way the reporter was NOT going to use this quote:

Larry Harris, a principal with Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, one of two national firms that conduct polling for Nevada media on occasion, acknowledged the difficulty. “It requires a lot more energy than somebody pulling a lever in a secret ballot,” he said.

(Also, your HTML allows em but not i, so my first post was not properly italicized.)

Ingen Angiven | Fri, 01/11/2008 - 10:55am

Oh my god, I totally suck. Here's the SECOND quote:

“You’d have to poll up to wazoo to find these caucusgoers.”

Ingen Angiven | Fri, 01/11/2008 - 10:56am

Also, I thought this wasn't true: The New Hampshire results were thrown, in part, by race. Polls frequently overstate support for black candidates among white voters, particularly white voters who are poor, he wrote. Poorer, less educated whites refuse to respond to surveys more often than affluent, better-educated whites and those who won’t answer tend to have more unfavorable views of blacks than respondents who do the interviews.

I though the race stats were accurate, but older women were the swing. Am I not correct?

Ingen Angiven | Fri, 01/11/2008 - 10:57am

i think maybe i need to install html corrector.

yes, that line is very likely not true.

crazymonk | Fri, 01/11/2008 - 11:18am

how do you know it's NOT "the" larry harris?

what's the ol' fox up to these days?

jbg. | Fri, 01/11/2008 - 12:12pm

cm, are you being bombarded with ads, etc?

Elissa | Sat, 01/12/2008 - 9:12am

Here's the trick to avoiding that: not having a land line. I know that people must be getting bombarded with phone calls, but I haven't received any robo-calls on my cell.

As for TV ads, yes, I've seen the same Clinton ad over 20 times, and it's not a great one. I hear she has a new one though with her "found my voice" line, but I haven't seen it. Obama has a lot of ads, too, but I've seen two different kinds, and I like them better.

There are 3-4 Ron Paul bill boards within a 1/2 mile of my house, and today H. Clinton is at a Mexican restaurant that's a 5-minute walk from my house.

crazymonk | Sat, 01/12/2008 - 9:55am

Political ads are to local Nevada TV as Juno ads are to Comedy Central.

Enjoy the shower of attention from candidates. Those of us who live in the state with the MOST ELECTORAL VOTES only get them for a day or two, and then usually just to pick up a few mil.

Lorelei | Sat, 01/12/2008 - 2:50pm